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Elio Liberatore

I build Monte Carlo simulation APIs for sports probabilities — soccer, MLB, NFL, NHL and NBA — plus an MCP server for AI agents. Data and models, not tips.

Joined Joined on  github website
NFL playoff odds after Week 1 (2026): why my Monte Carlo model barely trusts a 31-10 win
commodus67 profile

NFL playoff odds after Week 1 (2026): why my Monte Carlo model barely trusts a 31-10 win

#datascience #statistics #sports #api
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5 min read
Shipping a statistical model to the browser: Dixon–Coles soccer predictions with no backend and no API key
commodus67 profile

Shipping a statistical model to the browser: Dixon–Coles soccer predictions with no backend and no API key

#showdev #javascript #webdev #datascience
1
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5 min read
NBA play-in odds are not playoff odds: simulating the play-in tournament instead of guessing it
commodus67 profile

NBA play-in odds are not playoff odds: simulating the play-in tournament instead of guessing it

#datascience #statistics #sports #simulation
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5 min read
NHL playoff odds for 2026-27: 84 games, the wild card rule, and why I don't trust my own model in September
commodus67 profile

NHL playoff odds for 2026-27: 84 games, the wild card rule, and why I don't trust my own model in September

#datascience #statistics #sports #simulation
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5 min read
Correct score, BTTS and Over/Under probabilities with Dixon-Coles: what I learned building it for MLS and Liga MX
commodus67 profile

Correct score, BTTS and Over/Under probabilities with Dixon-Coles: what I learned building it for MLS and Liga MX

#datascience #statistics #sports #api
Comments
5 min read
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